Bangkok: "Thepthai" points out that the no-confidence debate is purely a game of heart. Thepthai analyzed that the Anutin government's lifespan is likely to be short-lived, lasting less than four months, due to the heated political situation. The opposition is preparing to submit a no-confidence motion, while the government may dissolve Parliament before being questioned. He pointed out that between Pheu Thai and the people, which party will dare to make the first move.
According to Thai News Agency, Mr. Thepthai Senapong, former MP for Nakhon Si Thammarat, posted a message on his Facebook page "Thepthai - Talking Politics," stating that the no-confidence debate is a purely heart-to-heart game. Thepthai was among the first to predict the brief tenure of Anutin Charnvirakul's government, asserting that it would not last the four months it had announced. Initially met with skepticism, this analysis has gained traction due to the current political climate.
Some analysts suggest that Parliament may be dissolved after the opening of the House of Representatives' regular session on December 12, 2025. This scenario arises as the opposition plans to submit a no-confidence motion, which could prompt the government to dissolve Parliament preemptively. Mr. Anutin's statement about not tolerating opposition criticism suggests that such a dissolution is likely.
Deputy Prime Minister Bowornsak Uwanno mentioned that dissolving Parliament before its term ends would prevent a referendum, as constitutional amendments are not forthcoming. This indicates that the government is leveraging constitutional amendment issues to thwart the opposition's no-confidence efforts. The Prachachon Party seems eager for the government to complete its term, hoping for successful amendments.
The political scene is a test of courage between Pheu Thai and Prachachon, determining which will initiate the no-confidence motion. Pheu Thai may target Prime Minister Anutin, aiming to unseat the government as political retribution. Alternatively, the People's Party could focus on Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Agriculture and Cooperatives Lt. Col. Thammanat Prompao, pressuring Anutin to remove him. Should Anutin refuse, a no-confidence motion could target Lt. Col. Thammanat exclusively, allowing Anutin's government to persist for the full four months.
This situation challenges the political acumen and strategy of both Pheu Thai and Prachachon, as they vie to outmaneuver each other and capture public support.